Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000190 0.000212 0.000236 0.000264 0.000294 0.000327 0.000366
2025-02-23 0.000155 0.000185 0.000219 0.000260 0.000309 0.000366 0.000437
2025-03-02 0.000129 0.000162 0.000202 0.000254 0.000319 0.000398 0.000502
2025-03-09 0.000111 0.000146 0.000191 0.000252 0.000332 0.000434 0.000575
2025-03-16 0.000097 0.000134 0.000183 0.000251 0.000346 0.000472 0.000654
2025-03-23 0.000087 0.000125 0.000176 0.000252 0.000361 0.000512 0.000738
2025-03-30 0.000078 0.000115 0.000169 0.000250 0.000372 0.000546 0.000817
2025-04-06 0.000071 0.000109 0.000164 0.000252 0.000387 0.000587 0.000909
2025-04-13 0.000065 0.000102 0.000160 0.000252 0.000400 0.000626 0.001001
2025-04-20 0.000058 0.000095 0.000153 0.000249 0.000406 0.000655 0.001079
2025-04-27 0.000056 0.000093 0.000154 0.000257 0.000432 0.000715 0.001212
2025-05-04 0.000052 0.000090 0.000151 0.000260 0.000448 0.000762 0.001328
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000086 0.000149 0.000263 0.000465 0.000812 0.001457
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000081 0.000144 0.000262 0.000476 0.000854 0.001575
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000076 0.000138 0.000257 0.000480 0.000883 0.001674
2025-06-01 0.000037 0.000072 0.000134 0.000256 0.000490 0.000923 0.001796
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000068 0.000131 0.000256 0.000502 0.000970 0.001934
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000065 0.000128 0.000257 0.000516 0.001020 0.002086
2025-06-22 0.000030 0.000062 0.000124 0.000255 0.000525 0.001061 0.002220
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000060 0.000123 0.000257 0.000540 0.001116 0.002391
2025-07-06 0.000027 0.000058 0.000120 0.000257 0.000553 0.001168 0.002558
2025-07-13 0.000025 0.000055 0.000116 0.000254 0.000557 0.001201 0.002689
2025-07-20 0.000024 0.000054 0.000118 0.000262 0.000588 0.001293 0.002959